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10/23/2017 10:39AM
I know some of you won't even want to talk about it, but I'm looking forward to it.
I know median ice-in is around mid-November generally in the BWCA from what I can gather on the DNR site. Anyone have any thoughts on if we'll be early or late this year? I'm guessing that's probably about right, but there's no science associated with it outside of a pretty chilly forecast for the rest of the week. That said, the surface water temp was still about 50 over the weekend. I suspect it can cool off in a hurry if its cold enough.
Anyone been paying attention and have any stronger predictions than that?
I know median ice-in is around mid-November generally in the BWCA from what I can gather on the DNR site. Anyone have any thoughts on if we'll be early or late this year? I'm guessing that's probably about right, but there's no science associated with it outside of a pretty chilly forecast for the rest of the week. That said, the surface water temp was still about 50 over the weekend. I suspect it can cool off in a hurry if its cold enough.
Anyone been paying attention and have any stronger predictions than that?
10/23/2017 11:12AM
I'am not going to bite totally on ice-up as things are running warm-- but snow looks likely this upcoming wk-end across N.MN and another re-curving typhoon in the W. Pacific spells a below normal first week of NOV at least for the E lower 48. What happens after that is a little muddled right now.
temp scale is in Kelvin which is basically the same as "C" for this purpose.
temp scale is in Kelvin which is basically the same as "C" for this purpose.
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
10/23/2017 11:22AM
I'm guessing later, the weather is a month behind. I always head up north right after Christmas for ice fishing. The last few years the ice was marginal to say the least. Sure, there were places to walk out to before then, but as far as driving the truck out to places I fish was not an option. But who knows...
10/23/2017 02:00PM
Reliable early ice is much less likely now than it was 20-30 years ago, and the "normals/averages" people like to cite are no longer representative of the current climate. 30 years ago ice-fishing was a regular activity by Thanksgiving on most small/shallow lakes in central and northern Minnesota, in most years. This year won't likely buck the trend of warmer falls and later freeze-ups.
“Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of the cancer cell.” -Edward Abbey
10/23/2017 10:58PM
quote Savage Voyageur: "We need to get TGO to officiate a name the time/date the Lake ices over contest again on a lake near Ely. "
Shagawa Lake next to Ely-Bring it on!! :)
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Great-Outdoors-Bait-Tackle/1606420532911075?skip_nax_wizard=true
10/24/2017 12:36PM
my clan is all jacked up for ice fishing on my local lake , Waconia ! mid 90's i remember walking out to the island on thanksgiving weekend and most years (in the past) has been that first week in december. for walking) when ever mother nature decides i just hope the snow holds off until a nice base is formed ,
BRING ON THE ICE !
BRING ON THE ICE !
keep your line wet, good things will happen
10/24/2017 04:11PM
stuff has been warm and trends are hard to buck (especially this warm trend)-- but I'am seeing a near normal to early ice-in this year. Big flips in the worldwide teleconnections which seem to favor an avg to earlier then avg ice in. Really going out on a limb with the current warmth-- but globally signs point to cool to override the North (canoe land) for the next few weeks. Whether the lakes can freeze earlier is in question with how warm they are but I say earlier then last few years.
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
10/24/2017 06:05PM
quote WhiteWolf: "stuff has been warm and trends are hard to buck (especially this warm trend)-- but I'am seeing a near normal to early ice-in this year. Big flips in the worldwide teleconnections which seem to favor an avg to earlier then avg ice in. Really going out on a limb with the current warmth-- but globally signs point to cool to override the North (canoe land) for the next few weeks. Whether the lakes can freeze earlier is in question with how warm they are but I say earlier then last few years."
Thanks! The water was 50 last weekend, but with lows in the 20s, highs in the low 30s for the next couple of weeks, it seems like it could turn in a hurry. Oh well...extra trip up to get the dock out. Things could be a whole lot worse!
10/31/2017 02:49AM
quote WhiteWolf: "I'am not going to bite totally on ice-up as things are running warm-- but snow looks likely this upcoming wk-end across N.MN and another re-curving typhoon in the W. Pacific spells a below normal first week of NOV at least for the E lower 48. What happens after that is a little muddled right now.
temp scale is in Kelvin which is basically the same as "C" for this purpose.
"
Early ice in compared to avg (last 30 years) is very likely in N.MN. S.MN may not be on par with the current pattern. The Northern Parts of the Upper Midwest (especially West) look cool to very cool the next 14 days.
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
11/07/2017 09:47AM
Pike Bay on Vermilion looks to be frozen over. Hearing that there is a lot of ice on Upper Red as well. Its only a matter of time until people start heading out. I will need to see a minimum of 4" until I head out. If the forecast is accurate I'll be out Thanksgiving weekend which is enough to keep me happy.
11/07/2017 12:33PM
Yesterday, the west bay of Dead Lake here in Otter Tail County had a skim of ice. No doubt it's still there. But it probably won't last with the forecast of rain on Saturday and some slightly higher temps next week.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." -- Yogi Berra
11/09/2017 06:09PM
The 40 acre lake I live on near Detroit Lakes, Mn froze over 3 or 4 days ago.
I walked 30 feet from shore out on it yesterday. I'm guessing it has 3 to 4 inches of ice on it now. The lake is only 15÷ feet deep.
I walked 30 feet from shore out on it yesterday. I'm guessing it has 3 to 4 inches of ice on it now. The lake is only 15÷ feet deep.
May the rivers be crooked and winding, and your portages lonesome, leading to the most amazing view.
11/10/2017 12:11AM
-13F at 11:59pm 11/9 at I-falls. This breaks the old minimum record for 11/9 of 0F last set in 1979 by 13F!!! It also falls just one day short of the -13F on 11/8/2003 of being the earliest temp reported in the negative teens at I-Falls. 11/10 AM low should be (need -14F) the coldest temp ever recorded so early in I-FALLS in recorded history which begun in March of 1895.
FYI- Mike Seidel from the Weather Channel is in Int'l Falls and his comment was "I have never experienced this kind of cold this early in the season" (welcome to the ICE BOX Mike and please come back in JAN )...he says locals have never seen this much snow OTG that hasn't melted away. #Winter
FYI- Mike Seidel from the Weather Channel is in Int'l Falls and his comment was "I have never experienced this kind of cold this early in the season" (welcome to the ICE BOX Mike and please come back in JAN )...he says locals have never seen this much snow OTG that hasn't melted away. #Winter
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
11/10/2017 02:05AM
At 2am in Goodland we have -5 degrees. Nice crisp night. Was just out loading the garage woodstove and the smoke is going straight up, the stars are bright and plentiful. The kind of night if I was feeling better I'd have thought about a walk.
Nctry
11/10/2017 07:18AM
quote WhiteWolf: "-13F at 11:59pm 11/9 at I-falls. This breaks the old minimum record for 11/9 of 0F last set in 1979 by 13F!!! It also falls just one day short of the -13F on 11/8/2003 of being the earliest temp reported in the negative teens at I-Falls. 11/10 AM low should be (need -14F) the coldest temp ever recorded so early in I-FALLS in recorded history which begun in March of 1895.
FYI- Mike Seidel from the Weather Channel is in Int'l Falls and his comment was "I have never experienced this kind of cold this early in the season" (welcome to the ICE BOX Mike and please come back in JAN )...he says locals have never seen this much snow OTG that hasn't melted away. #Winter
"
Won't officially find out until 18Z (noon) when the 6 hourly max/min are coded in the metar, but it looks like I-Falls hit -15F but I have seen (first hand) these 5 minute reports be off.
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
11/11/2017 07:42AM
The official low for I-falls did make it to -14F at 6:46am on 11/10. This is the coldest temperature ever recorded so early in the season at I-falls since record keeping begun in 1895.
The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.
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