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Boundary Waters Quetico Forum :: Listening Point - General Discussion :: Ice Out Contest

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HighnDry

03/28/2019 08:35PM

Thanks! I'll try to get a hold of him.

Mocha

03/27/2019 08:17AM

HighnDry: "Good guesses so far. I can see a couple trends emerging :) We still need a verifier or two for each lake....."

you could call John, the new owner of Gunflint Lodge, he is a member on this site, perhaps he would verify

schweady

03/20/2019 07:53AM

Shagawa - April 28
Gunflint - May 2

carmike

04/30/2019 10:32PM

Drat. Missed it by a day!

I'm guessing the split decision means there are no runner-up prizes...

schweady

03/20/2019 07:53AM

oops - dbl post

Pinetree

05/01/2019 07:53AM

Lot of ice on Gunflint lake still

HighnDry

03/24/2019 01:36PM

Hey folks,
Please make sure that when you put up your projected dates that they do not duplicate someone else's dates. For clarity, here's what I'm tracking so far from the list and the number of times that each date has been guessed. If your dates come later than a previous poster, please just edit your post to choose a new, unique date for that lake.

Shagawa
April 17
April 20
April 22 (2)
April 23
April 24
April 25
April 26
April 27 (2)
April 29
May 1
May 3
May 4
Gunflint
April 26
April 30
May 1
May 2
May 3
May 4 (2)
May 5
May 6
May 8 (2)
May 9
May 10

I think that this tracking is accurate, but please have a look and edit as necessary. Thanks!

carmike

03/21/2019 07:52PM

Shagawa -- April 26th

Gunflint -- May 1

HighnDry

03/27/2019 09:10PM

Mocha: "HighnDry: "Good guesses so far. I can see a couple trends emerging :) We still need a verifier or two for each lake....."

you could call John, the new owner of Gunflint Lodge, he is a member on this site, perhaps he would verify"

Do you know his screen name by any chance? I could PM him through this site. I'm out most days at this time of year and probably won't be able to get in touch by phone. Good suggestion, thanks Mocha!

Mocha

04/21/2019 07:41PM

anyone keeping track of this?

HighnDry

03/27/2019 09:09PM

nctry: "HighnDry: "My guesses:

Shagawa - April 22nd

Gunflint - May 6th"

Can you’ve more specific? What time? Haha. You’ll be close..."

3:22PM and 4:01PM, respectively :) :)

HighnDry

04/19/2019 01:39AM

I'm watching the ice-out maps in MN all the way down here from Melbourne, VIC. It's a long story. I'll be back though by the end of this month. Ice-out is slowly moving north and may even reach nctry's place soon! :)

Pinetree

04/19/2019 07:16AM

We have our first iceout lake in Brainerd area. Yes a small lake. But it has begun.

Stumpy

03/25/2019 02:45PM

bfurlow: "bfurlow: "Shagawa - May 4
Gunflint - May 8 "
I will change my Gunflint date to May 7 if it removes a conflict."

Thanks, but it didn't bother me...... Great minds ;)

The Great Outdoors

04/02/2019 04:14PM

Bumping this up, getting lost in the shuffle! :)

Kelso

03/24/2019 08:36PM

Suggestion: Allow duplicate dates, but require an ice out time (ie, 3pm).

The Great Outdoors

03/21/2019 05:06PM

Shagawa Lake - April 20th
Gunflint Lake - April 30th

Pinetree

03/21/2019 02:34PM

May 4 Gunflint,Shagawa April 22

chefcycle

03/21/2019 10:34PM

Shagawa April 24th
Gunflint may the 4th :)

HighnDry

04/14/2019 03:18AM

triple bump

HighnDry

05/19/2019 09:43AM

I've been working a ton as of late, so I haven't kept up with this as much as I would have liked....but, it looks like LindenTree won for Gunflint with a guess of May 12. That's the DNR's official ice-out date for that lake. Congrats LindenTree!

I think a couple folks are winners for Shagawa, message me with your addresses so that I can get your BDBs out to you via mail....happy paddling all, I look forward to seeing you all out on the water (that goes for you too Ben! :)

HighnDry

05/08/2019 09:16PM

Pinetree: "nctry: "I hope the snow tonight is Mother Nature getting it out of her system before the weekend."

All I know down my way it is light rain and about 42 degrees and it is going to last all night maybe snow after 11PM. Fishing will be terrible this weekend if you plan on going."

I still wish I was up there though! :)

Mocha

04/12/2019 12:39PM

bump

anthonyp007

03/23/2019 08:56PM

Shagawa: April 17th

Gunflint: April 26th

Tony

ledhead

03/27/2019 05:59PM

Shagawa - April 24
Gunflint - May 2

Pinetree

03/24/2019 05:06PM

Amost impossible not to duplicate one of the dates and still want to get in the contest.

It looks like a earlier than normal ice out shaping up. Temps running about 10 degrees above normal. Now those who can figure out total BTU your in good shape.

HighnDry

05/01/2019 11:03PM

Thanks Pinetree!

Kelso

05/08/2019 07:27AM

On 5/7, Heston's Lodge reported on Facebook that there's still 6 inches of ice on Gunflint.

LindenTree

03/24/2019 06:47PM

Was wondering about duplicate dates as well. Here is my guess.

Shagwa, May 2nd.
Gunflint May 12

If a duplicate date wins, do you split the Bungee Dealee Bobs down the middle, the Bunge Dealee Bobs might fare ok, but split the Moose in half, I doubt it would fly very well. :-)

HighnDry

03/19/2019 08:06PM

It's not really a contest. Those who are interested can test their ability to forecast ice-out dates for two significant lakes in the BWCA. If memory serves, Shagawa is relatively muddy-bottomed and shallow in comparision to the deep, granite-lined Gunflint Lake. Their different characteristics translate into different ice-out dates.

Here's the game -- Choose your likely ice-out date for each of these lakes.

We need two good-hearted souls to act as verifiers for ice-out on these lakes. I'll arbitrarily say that a lake needs to be 90% free of ice (if someone has a better metric, I'm open to accepting that for our contest).

I'll offer three bungey-dealy bobs for whomever wins Shagawa or a flying moose sticker from this site. If anyone feels like chipping in an "incentive" for Gunflint, feel free :)

HighnDry

03/19/2019 08:13PM

My guesses:

Shagawa - April 22nd

Gunflint - May 6th

Mocha

03/20/2019 06:19AM

Shagwa: May 1
Gunflint: April 28

Selfsuffi

03/20/2019 10:09AM

Shagawa- - April 25th
Gunflint - May 3rd

Stumpy

03/20/2019 01:38PM

Shagawa.....May 3
Gunflint......May 8

Mocha

03/20/2019 01:46PM

if someone knows how to contact trailrat perhaps he'd be the voice of gunflint. he lives about 2 miles from gunflint lake.

Kelso

03/21/2019 12:18PM

Shagwa: April 27
Gunflint: May 10

BearBurrito

03/21/2019 12:32PM

Shagawa: April 23
Gunflint: May 5

HighnDry

03/21/2019 09:09PM

Good guesses so far. I can see a couple trends emerging :) We still need a verifier or two for each lake.....

Jamie B.

04/16/2019 08:44PM

Today was nice and warm out wondering how the ice looks!

Banksiana

04/16/2019 08:54PM

Jamie B.: "Today was nice and warm out wondering how the ice looks!" Like this.

bfurlow

03/22/2019 01:41PM

Shagawa - May 4
Gunflint - May 8

HighnDry

03/22/2019 08:21PM

The Great Outdoors: "HighnDry: "Good guesses so far. I can see a couple trends emerging :) We still need a verifier or two for each lake....."

I can notify the forum when Shagawa Lake is ice free.
(Ice free means a person can drive a boat the length of the lake without much effort.)"

Works for me! Thanks!

The Great Outdoors

03/22/2019 03:36PM

HighnDry: "Good guesses so far. I can see a couple trends emerging :) We still need a verifier or two for each lake....."

I can notify the forum when Shagawa Lake is ice free.
(Ice free means a person can drive a boat the length of the lake without much effort.)

MN_Lindsey

03/22/2019 05:07PM

Shagawa - April 29
Gunflint - May 9

AdamXChicago

03/24/2019 01:18PM

Shagawa: April 27

Gunflint: May 2

HighnDry

03/24/2019 08:01PM

Ha ha! I don't know. It probably goes to the first guess posted --- but far be it for me to impose rules on this bunch,. We're explorers dammit, not conformists :)

bfurlow

03/24/2019 08:13PM

bfurlow: "Shagawa - May 4
Gunflint - May 8 "
I will change my Gunflint date to May 7 if it removes a conflict.

nctry

03/27/2019 06:08AM

HighnDry: "My guesses:

Shagawa - April 22nd

Gunflint - May 6th"

Can you’ve more specific? What time? Haha. You’ll be close...

Mocha

03/28/2019 10:56AM

ithought i did but can't find it. you can reach him at 1-800-fat-deal (no kidding). he is the owner so he's up early and late. his name is john fredricksen. sometimes uses fred in names.

Kelso

05/15/2019 08:44AM

So who won?

carmike

04/28/2019 11:32PM

Bump to the top.

Who won?!?

schweady

04/29/2019 01:45PM

Saw a FB post that Shagawa went out today. Confirmation?

The Great Outdoors

04/29/2019 02:01PM

Looks as though AdamXChicago and Kelso both predicted the 27th of April, so they will be co-winners!!
Congratulations!!! :)

Kelso

04/29/2019 02:07PM

Cool! Virtual congratulatory handshake to AdamXChicago. Gunflint is still locked in?

The Great Outdoors

04/29/2019 01:57PM

schweady: "Saw a FB post that Shagawa went out today. Confirmation?"
It was actually considered ice out on Saturday night by Bob Cary, which was when a boat could travel east to west without any problem.
A few ice flows yesterday about noon, totally ice free today.
With this said, and by contest rules used from the past, Saturday the 27th about 5 pm could be considered the winner.

inspector13

05/17/2019 01:01PM

Kelso: "So who won?"
It looks like interest with this contest froze out with the lingering cold.

But I figure you won with five-days from the reported ice out of Gunflint Lake. MNLindsey and LindenTree were both off by eight-days between both lakes.

HighnDry

05/01/2019 07:17AM

The Great Outdoors: "schweady: "Saw a FB post that Shagawa went out today. Confirmation?"
It was actually considered ice out on Saturday night by Bob Cary, which was when a boat could travel east to west without any problem.
A few ice flows yesterday about noon, totally ice free today.
With this said, and by contest rules used from the past, Saturday the 27th about 5 pm could be considered the winner.
"

Thanks for monitoring this TGO. I've been traveling this past month and haven't really been able to follow this. Does anyone have any intel on Gunflint? I never had a chance to contact the member that Mocha suggested.

LindenTree

05/19/2019 10:30AM

Yippie, I'm going to Disneyland.
Well maybe the BW but close enough.

I'll PM you HND.

Basspro69

05/02/2019 08:00PM

The Great Outdoors: "Looks as though AdamXChicago and Kelso both predicted the 27th of April, so they will be co-winners!!
Congratulations!!! :)" Congrats guys !

nctry

05/08/2019 12:00PM

I hope the snow tonight is Mother Nature getting it out of her system before the weekend.

Pinetree

05/08/2019 12:06PM

nctry: "I hope the snow tonight is Mother Nature getting it out of her system before the weekend."

All I know down my way it is light rain and about 42 degrees and it is going to last all night maybe snow after 11PM. Fishing will be terrible this weekend if you plan on going.