BWCA Spring flood outlook for northeast MN and northwest WI Boundary Waters Trip Planning Forum
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gravelroad
distinguished member(993)distinguished memberdistinguished memberdistinguished memberdistinguished member
  
02/09/2023 06:44PM  
Hey you. Yeah, you over there, poring over your maps. If you're planning a May or June trip, you will want to pin this link somewhere and check it at least weekly as your trip approaches:

Spring Flood Outlook for Northeast MN and Northwest WI

 
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TuscaroraBorealis
distinguished member(5685)distinguished memberdistinguished memberdistinguished memberdistinguished memberpower member
  
02/09/2023 08:56PM  
Who me?!?

Thanks for the information!

Actually have had some melting the past few days around Ely, and moderate Temps (30's) predicted for a least the next week or so. Also,I don't think we have/will achieve the same ice thickness as last year? But, still got over a month of 'official' winter so, we shall see what March & April have in store for us.
AlexanderSupertramp
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02/10/2023 08:57AM  
I could see this going both ways...

LOTS of snow up there this year, but pretty mild temps and shallow frost lines mean the ground will probably accept more water earlier and lots of snow will melt and runoff before the big melt. I think it all hinges on early April rain, because that's really what messed things up last year. This far into Feb with temps in the mid 30s (40s here in Duluth over the weekend), we would have to have a hell of a snowy/cold March to create flooding issues like last year. We've lost almost a foot of snowpack in Duluth and probably will lose quite a bit more this weekend.

Just my $0.02.. I'm not a scientist but it sure would be nice to not have my basement flood again this Spring.

straighthairedcurly
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02/10/2023 01:15PM  
Great link, thanks!
gravelroad
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02/10/2023 06:17PM  
How in the hell did my “poring” get changed subsequently to “pouring”? It sure as hell wasn’t by my hand.

Don’t do it again.
tumblehome
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02/10/2023 06:54PM  


Here is the 3 month precipitation outlook. Not very remarkable.















Here is the three month temperature outlook.

I have two, no, three comments:


1.Thank you Gravelroad for sharing. I apologize for being so opinionated.
2. I (me personally) hate outlooks because they are usually wrong and people should not make any plans or hopes based on them.
3. The outlook maps from the Gubment don’t show anything that would indicate anything more than a normal late winter/ early spring.

4….. Local forecasters predicted high snow amounts (we did but only in Dec.) and a frigid winter. Total yawn. Mild all winter. Above average temps.
6…. Use a weather rock to determine weather and not Gubment workers.

Love,
Tom
pastorjsackett
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02/10/2023 07:36PM  
It's the time of year, when our permits have been procured, that we all sit back and watch.....all part of the process!
 
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